Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 1-2 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Pauli | Draw | Wehen Wiesbaden |
72.87% ( -0.03) | 16.15% ( -0.05) | 10.99% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.23% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.3% ( 0.5) | 34.7% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.35% ( 0.56) | 56.65% ( -0.56) |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.75% ( 0.11) | 8.25% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.17% ( 0.29) | 28.83% ( -0.29) |
Wehen Wiesbaden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% ( 0.49) | 41.99% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.57% ( 0.42) | 78.43% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
St Pauli | Draw | Wehen Wiesbaden |
2-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 72.86% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.99% |
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