SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 56%. A win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 23.01% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Wehen Wiesbaden |
56% ( -0.21) | 20.99% ( 0.02) | 23.01% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 63.16% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% ( 0.11) | 34.69% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.35% ( 0.12) | 56.65% ( -0.13) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( -0.03) | 12.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.66% ( -0.05) | 38.33% ( 0.05) |
| Wehen Wiesbaden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 0.21) | 27.88% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( 0.27) | 63.49% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | Wehen Wiesbaden |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 56% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.42% 0-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.54% Total : 23.01% |
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