SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 25.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.73%) and 0-1 (6.53%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Luzern |
25.74% ( 0.56) | 21.24% ( 0.07) | 53.02% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 65.57% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.04% ( 0.21) | 32.96% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.33% ( 0.24) | 54.67% ( -0.24) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.11% ( 0.51) | 24.89% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.5% ( 0.7) | 59.5% ( -0.69) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.29% ( -0.11) | 12.71% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.07% ( -0.23) | 38.93% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.74% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.13)0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.63% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 53.02% |
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