SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 38.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Luzern |
38.07% ( 0.02) | 23.87% ( -0.04) | 38.07% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.19) | 40.18% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% ( 0.19) | 62.55% ( -0.19) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( 0.09) | 21.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.83% ( 0.14) | 54.17% ( -0.14) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( 0.09) | 21.26% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( 0.14) | 54.18% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 38.07% |
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