SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
47.71% ( 0.74) | 22.81% ( -0.13) | 29.48% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.33% ( 0.24) | 37.67% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.09% ( 0.26) | 59.91% ( -0.26) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.84% ( 0.36) | 16.15% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.39% ( 0.66) | 45.6% ( -0.67) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -0.26) | 24.85% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( -0.36) | 59.44% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.05% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.66% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.8% | 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
