SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.57%) and 1-3 (5.55%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Basel |
32.9% ( 0.01) | 21.89% ( -0) | 45.2% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68.46% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0) | 31.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.23% ( 0) | 52.77% ( -0.01) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0) | 19.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% ( 0.01) | 51.86% ( -0.02) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( -0) | 14.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.24% ( -0) | 42.75% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.8% 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.9% | 1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.02% 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 45.2% |
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