SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
38.17% ( 0) | 25.32% ( 0.02) | 36.51% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.87% ( -0.1) | 47.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.63% ( -0.09) | 69.37% ( 0.09) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.05) | 24.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0.06) | 58.69% ( 0.06) |
| Lechia Gdansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.06) | 25.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.05% ( -0.08) | 59.95% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Lechia Gdansk |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.51% |
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