SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stromsgodset win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stromsgodset win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stromsgodset in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
46.3% ( 0.12) | 22.7% ( 0.1) | 31% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 64.41% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.76% ( -0.63) | 36.24% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.64% ( -0.69) | 58.36% ( 0.69) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.87% ( -0.19) | 16.13% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.45% ( -0.36) | 45.55% ( 0.36) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.43) | 23.21% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.64) | 57.11% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.06% Total : 31% |
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