SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Rosenborg | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Bodo/Glimt | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Viking FK | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Stromsgodset | 10 | 1 | 17 |
| 5 | Aalesund | 10 | -1 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Stromsgodset |
42.06% ( -0.86) | 25.73% ( -0.13) | 32.21% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( 0.9) | 49.73% ( -0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.26% ( 0.8) | 71.74% ( -0.8) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.03) | 23.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.51% ( -0.04) | 57.49% ( 0.04) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.93% ( 1.11) | 29.07% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.02% ( 1.35) | 64.98% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sarpsborg 08 | Draw | Stromsgodset |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.06% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.21% |
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