SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Stromsgodset had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Stromsgodset win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
34.68% ( -0.06) | 23.98% ( -0) | 41.34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.15% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% | 41.12% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( 0) | 63.51% ( 0) |
| Stromsgodset Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( -0.03) | 23.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.55% ( -0.05) | 57.45% ( 0.05) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( 0.03) | 20.12% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( 0.04) | 52.38% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stromsgodset | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.68% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 41.34% |
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