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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadium of Light
HL

Sunderland
4 - 4
Hull City

Gelhardt (21'), Diallo (22', 73' pen.), Clarke (81')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Tufan (11', 90+8' pen.), Sayyadmanesh (25'), Slater (66')
Sayyadmanesh (34'), Elder (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-1 Hull City

With a top-half finish still in sight for Hull, Rosenior will be hoping that his side can take advantage of Sunderland's poor run of form on home soil. However, following a hard-fought performance against Burnley last time out, we expect the Black Cats to come out on top on Good Friday and edge closer to the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawHull City
40.88% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 27.14% (-0.032 -0.03) 31.97% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (0.107 0.11)55.51% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (0.088999999999999 0.09)76.69% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.091999999999999 0.09)26.68% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.121 0.12)61.94% (-0.122 -0.12)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (0.026 0.03)68.62% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 40.88%
    Hull City 31.97%
    Draw 27.14%
SunderlandDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, March 31 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Luton
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-2 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, March 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, March 12 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 1-5 Stoke
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 25 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 0-0 Rotherham
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-3 Burnley
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-0 West Brom
Friday, March 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Hull City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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