SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
36.7% ( -0.38) | 26.71% ( -0.09) | 36.6% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.84% ( 0.39) | 53.16% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.27% ( 0.33) | 74.73% ( -0.33) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.06% ( -0.04) | 27.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( -0.05) | 63.57% ( 0.05) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.99% ( 0.48) | 28.01% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.35% ( 0.6) | 63.65% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.7% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.6% |
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