SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
38.63% ( 0.66) | 26.72% ( -0.04) | 34.64% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 51.67% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.64% ( 0.09) | 53.35% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.1% ( 0.07) | 74.89% ( -0.07) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.08% ( 0.41) | 26.92% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.54) | 62.24% ( -0.53) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( -0.34) | 29.29% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -0.42) | 65.25% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.64% |
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