Despite just five points separating the two teams in this division, their home and away records are chalk and cheese. Taking that into consideration, we expect Sunderland to have the edge in this contest, battling their way to a win by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.44%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
0.26) 
-0.3) 
