Although Sunderland showed some spirit in their defeat to Southampton, it was still a confidence-sapping four goals conceded. We fancy QPR to shake off their own setback against Middlesbrough to secure a potentially-pivotal win at the Stadium of Light, albeit having to hold on during the closing stages.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
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