SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stoke City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
36.67% ( 0.06) | 27.68% ( -0.01) | 35.64% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( 0.04) | 57.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( 0.03) | 77.94% ( -0.03) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( 0.06) | 29.85% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.07) | 65.93% ( -0.07) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.51% ( -0.01) | 30.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.3% ( -0.02) | 66.7% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Queens Park Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.67% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.64% |
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