SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
31.73% ( 0.47) | 23.86% ( 0.32) | 44.41% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 60.53% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.51% ( -1.34) | 41.49% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.11% ( -1.37) | 63.89% ( 1.38) |
| SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -0.36) | 25.33% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -0.51) | 60.11% ( 0.52) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.06% ( -0.86) | 18.94% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.55% ( -1.45) | 50.45% ( 1.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.73% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.86% | 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.37% Total : 44.41% |
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