Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.
