SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
47.33% ( 0.07) | 25.62% ( -0.04) | 27.05% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( 0.14) | 51.72% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.51% ( 0.12) | 73.5% ( -0.12) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( 0.09) | 21.86% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( 0.14) | 55.09% ( -0.14) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.04) | 33.82% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( 0.05) | 70.49% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 47.33% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.05% |
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