SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
54.9% ( -0.63) | 23.6% ( 0.02) | 21.5% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 52.08% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.64% ( 0.63) | 48.36% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.5% ( 0.57) | 70.5% ( -0.57) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.51% ( -0) | 17.48% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.02% ( -0) | 47.97% ( 0.01) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% ( 0.97) | 36.88% ( -0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% ( 0.95) | 73.67% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Preston North End |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.26)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.9% | 1-1 @ 11.21% 0-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.59% | 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.72% Total : 21.5% |
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