SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Hull City |
43.66% ( -0.11) | 25.61% ( 0.04) | 30.73% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% ( -0.15) | 49.74% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% ( -0.13) | 71.75% ( 0.14) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.12) | 22.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( -0.17) | 56.36% ( 0.18) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.94% ( -0.03) | 30.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.81% ( -0.03) | 66.2% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.66% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.73% |
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