SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
32.43% ( 0.2) | 26.01% ( -0.04) | 41.56% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.14% ( 0.21) | 50.86% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.26% ( 0.19) | 72.74% ( -0.19) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( 0.23) | 29.48% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( 0.29) | 65.49% ( -0.29) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( 0.01) | 24.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( 0.02) | 58.57% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.55% |
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