SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Platense had a probability of 17.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Talleres would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Talleres | Draw | Platense |
58% ( -0.09) | 24.66% ( 0.08) | 17.34% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.63% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.48% ( -0.24) | 57.52% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( -0.19) | 78.31% ( 0.19) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.13) | 19.76% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -0.21) | 51.81% ( 0.21) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.13% ( -0.13) | 46.86% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.62% ( -0.09) | 82.38% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Talleres | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 12.17% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.34% |
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