Both Santos and Talleres have shown they have goals in them, so an open and end to end affair is on the cards here. We can also see the hosts getting the job done, albeit by only a narrow margin.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
1.21) 
-0.23) 
