Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
