SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 49.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Talleres had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Talleres win it was 0-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
49.67% ( 0.85) | 26.81% ( -0.33) | 23.52% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 45.2% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.73) | 58.63% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.81% ( 0.57) | 79.19% ( -0.57) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.26% ( 0.71) | 23.73% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( 1.02) | 57.87% ( -1.02) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.27% ( -0.08) | 40.72% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.69% ( -0.08) | 77.31% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.66% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.52% |
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