Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 52.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a King's Lynn Town win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.