SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Tamworth had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Tamworth win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Tamworth |
38.87% ( 1.62) | 27.77% ( 0.05) | 33.36% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 48.25% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.42% ( -0.36) | 57.57% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% ( -0.28) | 78.35% ( 0.28) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.2% ( 0.78) | 28.79% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( 0.97) | 64.64% ( -0.97) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( -1.28) | 32.24% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.26% ( -1.48) | 68.74% ( 1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.71% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.35% |
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