SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
60.7% ( -0.16) | 22.1% | 17.21% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( 0.26) | 48.04% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% ( 0.24) | 70.21% ( -0.24) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.63% ( 0.04) | 15.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.85% ( 0.07) | 44.16% ( -0.06) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( 0.36) | 41.41% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( 0.31) | 77.92% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.09)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.26% Total : 60.7% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.21% |
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