SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Tamworth |
19.62% ( 0.41) | 23.31% ( 0.09) | 57.06% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 50.15% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.49% ( 0.21) | 49.51% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.46% ( 0.19) | 71.54% ( -0.18) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( 0.58) | 39.49% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.82% ( 0.53) | 76.18% ( -0.53) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( -0.1) | 17.12% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.66% ( -0.18) | 47.34% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.36% Total : 19.62% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 10.52% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 57.05% |
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