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National League North | Gameweek 20
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
1 - 0
Brackley Town

Dolman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tamworth in this match.

Result
TamworthDrawBrackley Town
44.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.88% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)54.36% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)75.74% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.73% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)24.27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.36% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)58.64% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.21% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)33.79% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.55% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)70.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 44.57%
    Brackley Town 28.88%
    Draw 26.54%
TamworthDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 44.57%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.2% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bishop's Stortford 1-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-2 Banbury
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Tamworth
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Tamworth
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-1 Rushall Olympic
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-4 Brackley Town
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League North


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