SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 51.72%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | Helmond Sport |
51.72% ( 0.04) | 22.53% ( -0.02) | 25.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 60.84% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.06) | 39.16% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.07) | 61.48% ( -0.07) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.71% ( 0.03) | 15.29% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.06) | 44% ( -0.06) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.82% ( 0.02) | 28.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.13% ( 0.03) | 63.87% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 51.72% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 25.75% |
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