SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Helmond Sport | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
40.89% ( -0.35) | 23.08% ( 0.36) | 36.03% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 64.84% ( -1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.57% ( -1.85) | 36.43% ( 1.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.44% ( -2.04) | 58.56% ( 2.04) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( -0.92) | 18.35% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.53% ( -1.57) | 49.46% ( 1.57) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% ( -0.84) | 20.58% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.88% ( -1.34) | 53.12% ( 1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Helmond Sport | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.74% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.08% | 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.39)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.03% |
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