SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The Strongest win with a probability of 58.79%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Huachipato had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a The Strongest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Huachipato win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The Strongest would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The Strongest | Draw | Huachipato |
58.79% ( -0.05) | 21.99% ( 0.04) | 19.22% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.15) | 44.48% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.15) | 66.85% ( 0.15) |
| The Strongest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% ( -0.07) | 14.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.94% ( -0.13) | 43.06% ( 0.13) |
| Huachipato Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% ( -0.08) | 37.01% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.2% ( -0.07) | 73.8% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| The Strongest | Draw | Huachipato |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 10% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.79% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.98% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 19.22% |
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