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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Luis Alberto Salinas Tanasio

12 de Octubre
1 - 2
Huachipato

Nunez (55')
Manenti (43'), Shuartzman (47'), Barrios (76')
Manenti (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mazzantti (25', 57')
Jose Gazzolo Freire (20'), Sepulveda (73'), Silva (79')
Jose Gazzolo Freire (35')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between 12 de Octubre and Huachipato.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huachipato win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Huachipato win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest 12 de Octubre win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Huachipato in this match.

Result
12 de OctubreDrawHuachipato
36.16%23.62%40.22%
Both teams to score 62.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88%39.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56%61.44%
12 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26%21.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.09%54.91%
Huachipato Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22%19.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17%51.83%
Score Analysis
    12 de Octubre 36.16%
    Huachipato 40.22%
    Draw 23.62%
12 de OctubreDrawHuachipato
2-1 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.34%
3-0 @ 2.55%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-2 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 36.16%
1-1 @ 10.63%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.3%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 8.62%
0-1 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 4.65%
2-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 1.89%
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-4 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 40.22%

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