SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 29.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.34%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigre | Draw | Gimnasia |
41.05% ( -0.83) | 29.89% ( -0.09) | 29.05% ( 0.93) |
| Both teams to score 41.2% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.35% ( 0.56) | 65.64% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.66% ( 0.38) | 84.34% ( -0.38) |
| Tigre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0.2) | 31.53% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( -0.23) | 67.93% ( 0.23) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.17% ( 1.09) | 39.82% ( -1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.51% ( 0.99) | 76.49% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigre | Draw | Gimnasia |
| 1-0 @ 14.49% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.05% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.88% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.2)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.41% Total : 29.05% |
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