SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | River Plate |
24.92% ( -0.29) | 26.26% ( -0.05) | 48.82% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.36% ( -0.01) | 55.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.2% ( -0.01) | 76.8% ( 0.01) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( -0.26) | 37.75% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( -0.25) | 74.53% ( 0.25) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( 0.15) | 22.83% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.45% ( 0.22) | 56.55% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.92% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.82% |
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