SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gimnasia | Draw | Rosario Central |
45.82% ( 0.24) | 27.56% ( -0.1) | 26.62% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.82% ( 0.27) | 59.17% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.39% ( 0.21) | 79.6% ( -0.21) |
| Gimnasia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( 0.24) | 25.81% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( 0.33) | 60.77% ( -0.33) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.78% ( 0.03) | 38.22% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.02% ( 0.03) | 74.98% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gimnasia | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 13.36% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.82% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 26.62% |
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