J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 10.40am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
We said: Tokyo Verdy 2-1 Cerezo Osaka
Although the visitors hold the superior defensive record and have generally been more consistent, Tokyo Verdy will fancy their chances of prevailing from this contest. While they may not necessarily have the most possession, we are backing the hosts to come through this encounter by the odd goal in three.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Cerezo Osaka |
28.03% ( -0.07) | 26.35% ( 0.02) | 45.62% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( -0.09) |
| 45.98% ( -0.09) | 54.02% ( 0.09) |
| 24.54% ( -0.08) | 75.46% ( 0.08) |
| 65.73% ( -0.1) | 34.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.11) | 70.97% ( 0.11) |
| 76.38% ( -0.02) | 23.62% ( 0.02) |
