J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai
We said: Cerezo Osaka 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Cerezo come into this game as strong favourites to win having enjoyed a much better first half of the season in comparison to their visitors, and just one defeat in the last eight meetings between these two leads us to believe the hosts will secure all three points from this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48.5%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerezo Osaka in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cerezo Osaka.
| Result |
| Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Sagan Tosu |
48.5% ( -0.01) | 25.09% ( 0.01) | 26.41% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.85% ( -0) |
| 50.01% ( -0.01) | 49.99% ( 0.01) |
| 28.03% ( -0.01) | 71.98% ( 0.01) |
| 79.37% ( -0.01) | 20.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.8% ( -0.01) | 53.2% ( 0.02) |
| 66.59% ( 0) | 33.41% ( 0) |
