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J1 League | Gameweek 16
May 26, 2024 at 7am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
1 - 1
Hiroshima

Nishio (66')
Tanaka (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Araki (53')
Araki (78'), Ohashi (90+6')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Cerezo
Saturday, May 18 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
25.62% (-0.578 -0.58) 24.89% (0.065999999999999 0.07) 49.48% (0.511 0.51)
Both teams to score 52.74% (-0.736 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (-0.719 -0.72)49.79% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (-0.646 -0.65)71.79% (0.645 0.64)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)33.95% (0.857 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-0.942 -0.94)70.63% (0.938 0.94)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)20.14% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58% (-0.121 -0.12)52.41% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 25.62%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 49.48%
    Draw 24.89%
Cerezo OsakaDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.043 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 25.62%
1-1 @ 11.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.89%
0-1 @ 10.95% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.214 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 4.69% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 49.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Avispa Fukuoka 0-3 Cerezo
Saturday, May 18 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 2-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-4 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Cerezo
Monday, May 6 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-1 Consadole
Friday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, April 27 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-5 Hiroshima
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 1-3 Kashima Antlers
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-3 Nagoya Grampus
Monday, May 6 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Hiroshima
Friday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 2-2 Kawasaki
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 20 at 6am in J1 League


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