Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 33.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
33.68% ( -0.17)	28.22% ( 0.19)	38.1% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.79% (

-0.71)

59.21% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.37% (

-0.55)

79.63% (

0.55)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.13% (

-0.48)

32.87% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.56% (

-0.54)

69.44% (

0.54)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.36)

30.05% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.44)

66.18% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 33.67%

Kashiwa Reysol 38.09%

Draw 28.22%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 33.67%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.22%	0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.09%