Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
41.7% ( -0.16)	26.52% ( -0)	31.78% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.59% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.87% (

0.07)

53.13% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.29% (

0.06)

74.71% (

-0.06)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

-0.05)

25.17% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

-0.07)

59.89% (

0.07)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.94% (

0.15)

31.06% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.63% (

0.17)

67.37% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 41.7%

Kashiwa Reysol 31.78%

Draw 26.51%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 41.7%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.78%