Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
37.5%	28.36% ( 0.13)	34.14% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.36% (

-0.47)

59.64% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.04% (

-0.36)

79.96% (

0.36)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.37% (

-0.24)

30.62% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.13% (

-0.28)

66.87% (

0.28)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.22% (

-0.33)

32.78% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.66% (

-0.37)

69.34% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 37.5%

Kashiwa Reysol 34.13%

Draw 28.35%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.5%	1-1 @ 13.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.35%	0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 34.13%