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J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
Reysol

Chiba (57')
Takagi (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kinoshita (15')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 16 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
37.5%28.36% (0.128 0.13) 34.14% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.388 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.36% (-0.473 -0.47)59.64% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.364 -0.36)79.96% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (-0.236 -0.24)30.62% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (-0.281 -0.28)66.87% (0.27800000000001 0.28)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22% (-0.33 -0.33)32.78% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66% (-0.369 -0.37)69.34% (0.369 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 37.5%
    Kashiwa Reysol 34.13%
    Draw 28.35%
Albirex NiigataDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.03% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.77% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.5%
1-1 @ 13.25% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.03% (0.168 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.35%
0-1 @ 11.19% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 34.13%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 2-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 16 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Reysol
Saturday, March 2 at 4am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, February 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Reysol
Sunday, December 3 at 5.45am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 2-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League


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