J1 League | Gameweek 5
Mar 30, 2024 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Kashiwa Reysol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Albirex Niigata | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 37.5% | 28.36% ( 0.13) | 34.14% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( -0.39) |
| 40.36% ( -0.47) | 59.64% ( 0.47) |
| 20.04% ( -0.36) | 79.96% ( 0.36) |
| 69.37% ( -0.24) | 30.62% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.13% ( -0.28) | 66.87% ( 0.28) |
| 67.22% ( -0.33) | 32.78% ( 0.33) |
