SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | Dallas |
44.89% ( -0.4) | 25.89% ( 0.07) | 29.23% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( -0.12) | 51.56% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( -0.1) | 73.36% ( 0.1) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( -0.24) | 22.9% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( -0.35) | 56.66% ( 0.35) |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.19) | 32.07% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.21) | 68.54% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.23% |
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