SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
43.98% ( -0.52) | 24.42% ( -0) | 31.6% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.22) | 44.17% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( 0.22) | 66.54% ( -0.22) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( -0.13) | 20.21% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.47% ( -0.22) | 52.53% ( 0.21) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.28% ( 0.44) | 26.72% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( 0.58) | 61.98% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toronto | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.6% |
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