SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 65.41%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Toronto |
65.41% ( -0.04) | 20.03% ( -0.01) | 14.56% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.94% ( 0.12) | 44.06% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.56% ( 0.12) | 66.44% ( -0.12) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% ( 0.03) | 12.66% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.18% ( 0.06) | 38.82% ( -0.05) |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.14) | 42.47% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.16% ( 0.12) | 78.84% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.11% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 65.41% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
