Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
44.23% ( -0.12) | 25.47% ( -0.04) | 30.3% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.64% ( 0.22) | 49.36% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.59% ( 0.2) | 71.4% ( -0.2) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( 0.04) | 22.27% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( 0.05) | 55.72% ( -0.05) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( 0.23) | 30.17% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( 0.27) | 66.32% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 44.23% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.3% |
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