SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 46.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
46.86% ( 0.04) | 27.83% ( 0.09) | 25.3% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.15% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.17% ( -0.36) | 60.82% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.14% ( -0.27) | 80.85% ( 0.26) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.95% ( -0.14) | 26.04% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.91% ( -0.19) | 61.08% ( 0.19) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.7% ( -0.32) | 40.29% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.07% ( -0.29) | 76.92% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.99% Total : 46.85% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.82% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.3% |
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