Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo-BelAZ in this match.
